research
Research prediction markets - base rates, resolution rules, historical data
npx skills add majiayu000/claude-skill-registry --skill research-alsk1992-cloddsbot --agent claude-code
Same command for any agent — swap --agent for codex, cursor, copilot.
Weekly change comes from our own snapshots, not the repository page — it measures attention, not adoption.
# Research Skill Help users research markets with base rates, resolution criteria, and historical analogies. ## Commands ### Base Rate Lookup ``` /baserate incumbent senators losing /baserate fed rate cuts when inflation below 3% /baserate supreme court overturning precedent ``` ### Resolution Rules ``` /resolution [market-id] ``` ### Historical Analogs ``` /history similar to "Trump 2028" ``` ## Research Areas ### Political Markets - Incumbent win rates by office type - Primary prediction accuracy - Polling vs outcome correlations - Electoral college patterns ### Economic Markets - Fed rate decision patterns - Recession indicator accuracy - Inflation forecast track records - Employment report surprises ### Sports/Events - Historical upset frequencies - Weather event base rates - Award show prediction accuracy ## Examples User: "What's the base rate for Senate incumbents losing?" → Historical analysis: 8.2% since 1980 → Key factors: approval rating, scandals, wave elections User: "How does the market usually resolve for Fed meetings?" → Explain FOMC resolution criteria → Show historical price action around announcements User: "Has a market like this been wrong before?" → Find simil
- Commands
- Base Rate Lookup
- Resolution Rules
- Historical Analogs
- Research Areas
- Political Markets
- Economic Markets
- Sports/Events
- Examples
- Output Format
What does the research skill do?
Research prediction markets - base rates, resolution rules, historical data
How do I install it?
Run `npx skills add majiayu000/claude-skill-registry --skill research-alsk1992-cloddsbot --agent claude-code` — it drops the skill into your project so the agent can pick it up. Swap the --agent value for codex, cursor or copilot if you use one of those.
Where does this skill come from?
From majiayu000/claude-skill-registry, a repository with 534 stars. We read it straight from the repository tree rather than a submitted listing, so what you see here is what is actually published.
Is a popular skill a good skill?
Not necessarily. Stars measure attention, not adoption — a repository can trend for a week and be abandoned. That is why we show the weekly change from our own snapshots next to the total, instead of a single flattering number.