progressive-estimation
Estimate AI-assisted and hybrid human+agent development work with research-backed PERT statistics and calibration feedback loops
npx skills add sickn33/agentic-awesome-skills --skill progressive-estimation --agent claude-code
Same command for any agent — swap --agent for codex, cursor, copilot.
Weekly change comes from our own snapshots, not the repository page — it measures attention, not adoption.
# Progressive Estimation Estimate AI-assisted and hybrid human+agent development work using research-backed formulas with PERT statistics, confidence bands, and calibration feedback loops. ## Overview Progressive Estimation adapts to your team's working mode — human-only, hybrid, or agent-first — applying the right velocity model and multipliers for each. It produces statistical estimates rather than gut feelings. ## When to Use This Skill - Estimating development tasks where AI agents handle part of the work - Sprint planning with hybrid human+agent teams - Batch sizing a backlog (handles 5 or 500 issues) - Staffing and capacity planning with agent multipliers - Release date forecasting with confidence intervals ## How It Works 1. **Mode Detection** — Determines if the team works human-only, hybrid, or agent-first 2. **Task Classification** — Categorizes by size (XS–XL), complexity, and risk 3. **Formula Application** — Applies research-backed multipliers grounded in empirical studies 4. **PERT Calculation** — Produces expected values using three-point estimation 5. **Confidence Bands** — Generates P50, P75, P90 intervals 6. **Output Formatting** — Formats for Linear, JIRA, ClickU
- Overview
- When to Use This Skill
- How It Works
- Examples
- Best Practices
- Common Pitfalls
- Related Skills
- Additional Resources
- Limitations
What does the progressive-estimation skill do?
Estimate AI-assisted and hybrid human+agent development work with research-backed PERT statistics and calibration feedback loops
How do I install it?
Run `npx skills add sickn33/agentic-awesome-skills --skill progressive-estimation --agent claude-code` — it drops the skill into your project so the agent can pick it up. Swap the --agent value for codex, cursor or copilot if you use one of those.
Where does this skill come from?
From sickn33/agentic-awesome-skills, a repository with 44,414 stars. We read it straight from the repository tree rather than a submitted listing, so what you see here is what is actually published.
Is a popular skill a good skill?
Not necessarily. Stars measure attention, not adoption — a repository can trend for a week and be abandoned. That is why we show the weekly change from our own snapshots next to the total, instead of a single flattering number.