market-news-analyst

What it does

The skill collects recent market-moving news using WebSearch and WebFetch, focusing on major events from the last 10 days. It identifies event types (monetary policy, earnings, geopolitical, etc.), records source reliability, and notes initial market reactions. It then ranks each item by estimated market impact, considering asset price moves, breadth of impact across markets, and forward-looking significance. Finally, it generates a structured English Market News Analysis Report, ranked by impact, including detailed reaction analysis and a consolidated executive summary.

How it works

• Step 1: News Collection via WebSearch/WebFetch to gather items from the past 10 days across monetary policy, inflation/economic data, mega-cap earnings, geopolitical events, commodity news, and corporate news. Capture date/time, event type, source reliability, and initial market reaction.
• Step 2: Load knowledge references such as market_event_patterns.md and trusted_news_sources.md; conditionally load additional references depending on detected news types (e.g., central bank patterns, geopolitical correlations, corporate impact).
• Step 3: Impact Magnitude Assessment using three dimensions: Asset Price Impact, Breadth of Impact (multiplier), and Forward-Looking Significance. Compute an Impact Score with the provided scoring scheme and rank events by score.
• Step 4: Market Reaction Analysis for events with Impact Score > 5, detailing intraday reaction, multi-asset responses (equities, fixed income, commodities, currencies, derivatives), and identifying patterns vs. historical expectations, anomalies, and sentiment signals.
• Step 5: Correlation and Causation Assessment, analyzing interactions among multiple events, reinforcing or offsetting effects, and tracing transmission mechanisms (direct, indirect, sentiment, feedback loops).
• Step 6: Report Generation to produce a Markdown report titled Market News Analysis Report with an Executive Summary, Market Impact Rankings table, and Detailed Event Analyses for each item in rank order.

When to use it

Use when a user requests analysis of recent major market news (past 10 days), wants understanding of market reactions to monetary policy decisions (FOMC, ECB, BOJ), requires assessment of geopolitical impacts on commodities, or seeks comprehensive reviews of mega-cap earnings and their market implications.

What it can touch

• Tools: WebSearch, WebFetch.
• References: references/market_event_patterns.md, references/trusted_news_sources.md, and conditionally: references/geopolitical_commodity_correlations.md, references/corporate_news_impact.md.

Caveats

• The workflow relies on publicly available news sources and modeled patterns; outcomes depend on data quality and timing.
• It ranks events by an internal scoring framework and may flag anomalies when reactions diverge from historical patterns.*