demand-forecast-review
Interrogate a demand forecast before the business commits supply and inventory to it. Use when asked to review a demand plan, challenge a forecast, check forecast accuracy, decompose baseline vs uplift, or find hockey sticks in the numbers. Produces a forecast credibility review with baseline/uplift decomposition, MAPE and bias history, hockey-stick flags, an assumption register, and consensus-vs-statistical divergence analysis.
npx skills add mohitagw15856/pm-claude-skills --skill demand-forecast-review --agent claude-code
Same command for any agent — swap --agent for codex, cursor, copilot.
Weekly change comes from our own snapshots, not the repository page — it measures attention, not adoption.
# Demand Forecast Review Skill Every unit of forecast becomes purchase orders, capacity commitments, and inventory. This skill interrogates a forecast the way a supply planner must: separate the defensible baseline from hopeful uplift, confront the forecast with its own accuracy history, hunt for hockey sticks, and register every assumption so that when the number misses, you know which belief broke. ## What This Skill Produces - A baseline vs. uplift decomposition (statistical base + named uplift layers) - Forecast accuracy history: MAPE and bias, with what they imply for buffering - Hockey-stick and pattern-anomaly flags - An assumption register with owner, evidence strength, and expiry - Consensus vs. statistical divergence flags with a burden-of-proof call - An overall credibility verdict: plan to it / plan to it with buffers / send back ## Required Inputs Ask for these if not provided: - **The forecast** — by product/family and period, over the horizon under review - **History** — actuals for the trailing 12+ months; prior forecasts vs. actuals if available (for MAPE/bias) - **Uplift drivers** — promotions, launches, new customers, pipeline deals baked into the number - **Who
- What This Skill Produces
- Required Inputs
- Interrogation Framework
- Output Format
- Forecast Review: [scope / cycle]
- Quality Checks
- Anti-Patterns
What does the demand-forecast-review skill do?
Interrogate a demand forecast before the business commits supply and inventory to it. Use when asked to review a demand plan, challenge a forecast, check forecast accuracy, decompose baseline vs uplift, or find hockey sticks in the numbers. Produces a forecast credibility review with baseline/uplift decomposition, MAPE and bias history, hockey-stick flags, an assumption register, and consensus-vs-statistical divergence analysis.
How do I install it?
Run `npx skills add mohitagw15856/pm-claude-skills --skill demand-forecast-review --agent claude-code` — it drops the skill into your project so the agent can pick it up. Swap the --agent value for codex, cursor or copilot if you use one of those.
Where does this skill come from?
From mohitagw15856/pm-claude-skills, a repository with 1,255 stars. We read it straight from the repository tree rather than a submitted listing, so what you see here is what is actually published.
Is a popular skill a good skill?
Not necessarily. Stars measure attention, not adoption — a repository can trend for a week and be abandoned. That is why we show the weekly change from our own snapshots next to the total, instead of a single flattering number.