decision-frameworks
Use when choosing between mutually exclusive strategic paths or building a repeatable decision process—constructs Decision Matrices with probability estimates and runs Pre-Mortems.
npx skills add majiayu000/claude-skill-registry --skill decision-frameworks-joellewis-skill-library --agent claude-code
Same command for any agent — swap --agent for codex, cursor, copilot.
Weekly change comes from our own snapshots, not the repository page — it measures attention, not adoption.
## Overview Decision frameworks provide the structural rigor to make high-quality choices under uncertainty. This skill transforms decision-making from an emotional "gut feel" into a probabilistic process by decoupling outcomes from process, identifying cognitive biases, and utilizing a latticework of mental models to uncover second-order consequences. ## Guiding Principles ### Principle 1: Decisions are Bets (Source: Duke, *Thinking in Bets*) Every decision is a bet on a specific future. Shift from binary "Right/Wrong" thinking to probabilistic "Confidence" thinking. Acknowledging uncertainty (e.g., "I am 70% confident") improves decision quality and reduces the sting of bad outcomes. ### Principle 2: Anti-Resulting (Source: Duke, *Thinking in Bets*) Do not judge a decision solely by its outcome. A "good" result can come from a "bad" process due to luck. Evaluate the *process* used at the time of the decision, not the final result. ### Principle 3: Latticework of Models (Source: Munger, *Poor Charlie's Almanack*) You cannot make wise decisions with a single mental model. You must have a "latticework" of models from multiple disciplines (math, physics, biology, psychology) to avoid
- Overview
- Guiding Principles
- Principle 1: Decisions are Bets (Source: Duke, Thinking in Bets)
- Principle 2: Anti-Resulting (Source: Duke, Thinking in Bets)
- Principle 3: Latticework of Models (Source: Munger, Poor Charlie's Almanack)
- Principle 4: Circle of Competence (Source: Parrish, Great Mental Models v1)
- Principle 5: Pragmatic Truth (Source: Sivers, Useful Not True)
- When to Use This Skill
- When NOT to Use This Skill
- Core Process
- Step 1: Frame the Decision
- Step 2: Build the Decision Matrix
- Step 3: Apply Mental Model Stress-Tests
- Step 4: Perform a Pre-Mortem
What does the decision-frameworks skill do?
Use when choosing between mutually exclusive strategic paths or building a repeatable decision process—constructs Decision Matrices with probability estimates and runs Pre-Mortems.
How do I install it?
Run `npx skills add majiayu000/claude-skill-registry --skill decision-frameworks-joellewis-skill-library --agent claude-code` — it drops the skill into your project so the agent can pick it up. Swap the --agent value for codex, cursor or copilot if you use one of those.
Where does this skill come from?
From majiayu000/claude-skill-registry, a repository with 534 stars. We read it straight from the repository tree rather than a submitted listing, so what you see here is what is actually published.
Is a popular skill a good skill?
Not necessarily. Stars measure attention, not adoption — a repository can trend for a week and be abandoned. That is why we show the weekly change from our own snapshots next to the total, instead of a single flattering number.