bayesian-workflow
Opinionated Bayesian modeling workflow with PyMC and ArviZ. Contains critical guardrails (nutpie sampler, prior/posterior predictive checks, LOO-PIT calibration, prior sensitivity checks, 94% HDI, non-centered parameterizations, reproducible seeds) that agents won't apply unprompted — always consult before writing Bayesian model code. Trigger on: building probabilistic/Bayesian models, prior elicitation, MCMC inference, convergence diagnostics (divergences, R-hat, ESS), model comparison (LOO-CV, ELPD, stacking weights), hierarchical/multilevel models, count regressions, logistic regression w
Profile →npx skills add brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills --skill bayesian-workflow --agent claude-code
Same command for any agent — swap --agent for codex, cursor, copilot.
Weekly change comes from our own snapshots, not the repository page — it measures attention, not adoption.
# Bayesian Workflow ## Workflow overview Every Bayesian analysis follows this sequence. Do not skip steps -- especially model criticism. 1. **Formulate** — Define the generative story. What underlying process, that we're precisely trying to model, created the data? 2. **Specify priors** — See [references/priors.md](references/priors.md) 3. **Implement in PyMC** — Write the model. Prefer PyMC 5+ sy
What does the bayesian-workflow skill do?
Opinionated Bayesian modeling workflow with PyMC and ArviZ. Contains critical guardrails (nutpie sampler, prior/posterior predictive checks, LOO-PIT calibration, prior sensitivity checks, 94% HDI, non-centered parameterizations, reproducible seeds) that agents won't apply unprompted — always consult before writing Bayesian model code. Trigger on: building probabilistic/Bayesian models, prior elicitation, MCMC inference, convergence diagnostics (divergences, R-hat, ESS), model comparison (LOO-CV, ELPD, stacking weights), hierarchical/multilevel models, count regressions, logistic regression w
How do I install it?
Run `npx skills add brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills --skill bayesian-workflow --agent claude-code` — it drops the skill into your project so the agent can pick it up. Swap the --agent value for codex, cursor or copilot if you use one of those.
Where does this skill come from?
From brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills, a repository with 3,244 stars. We read it straight from the repository tree rather than a submitted listing, so what you see here is what is actually published.
Is a popular skill a good skill?
Not necessarily. Stars measure attention, not adoption — a repository can trend for a week and be abandoned. That is why we show the weekly change from our own snapshots next to the total, instead of a single flattering number.