assumption-bounty
Extract every hidden assumption from a plan or document and put a price on each one — what it costs if wrong, what it costs to test. Use before committing to anything whose author says 'obviously' or whose spreadsheet has hardcoded cells: the bounty hunt makes the invisible load-bearing beliefs explicit and tells you which three to test this week. Produces the assumption ledger (priced and ranked), the cheapest test for each dangerous one, and the document's honest confidence statement.
npx skills add mohitagw15856/pm-claude-skills --skill assumption-bounty --agent claude-code
Same command for any agent — swap --agent for codex, cursor, copilot.
Weekly change comes from our own snapshots, not the repository page — it measures attention, not adoption.
# Assumption Bounty Every plan is a stack of beliefs wearing a costume of facts. Most die from an assumption nobody wrote down — because unwritten assumptions can't be tested, assigned, or noticed when they quietly become false. The bounty hunt pays by the find: every hidden belief extracted, priced, and ranked by (cost if wrong) ÷ (cost to test). ## Required Inputs - **The document** — plan, model, PRD, forecast, strategy. Spreadsheet-backed documents: include the key hardcoded numbers; each one is an assumption in a trench coat. - Optional: which assumptions the team already knows about — the bounty only pays for *hidden* ones, and knowing the acknowledged list sharpens the hunt. ## Where Assumptions Hide - **In verbs**: "users will migrate" (will they?), "the team can absorb" (can it?) - **In adjectives**: "conservative estimate", "simple integration", "standard terms" - **In silence**: what the document never mentions — pricing pages that assume no competitor response, hiring plans that assume no attrition - **In hardcoded numbers**: every constant in the model (conversion 3%, CAC $400) is a belief with a confidence interval nobody stated - **In the past tense**: "as we saw in
- Required Inputs
- Where Assumptions Hide
- Output Format
- Quality Checks
- Anti-Patterns
What does the assumption-bounty skill do?
Extract every hidden assumption from a plan or document and put a price on each one — what it costs if wrong, what it costs to test. Use before committing to anything whose author says 'obviously' or whose spreadsheet has hardcoded cells: the bounty hunt makes the invisible load-bearing beliefs explicit and tells you which three to test this week. Produces the assumption ledger (priced and ranked), the cheapest test for each dangerous one, and the document's honest confidence statement.
How do I install it?
Run `npx skills add mohitagw15856/pm-claude-skills --skill assumption-bounty --agent claude-code` — it drops the skill into your project so the agent can pick it up. Swap the --agent value for codex, cursor or copilot if you use one of those.
Where does this skill come from?
From mohitagw15856/pm-claude-skills, a repository with 1,255 stars. We read it straight from the repository tree rather than a submitted listing, so what you see here is what is actually published.
Is a popular skill a good skill?
Not necessarily. Stars measure attention, not adoption — a repository can trend for a week and be abandoned. That is why we show the weekly change from our own snapshots next to the total, instead of a single flattering number.